华南理工大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2010, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (7): 72-77.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-565X.2010.07.013

• 交通与运输工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

城市道路交叉路口的拥堵预测

陈小红1,2  钱大琳1,2   


  1. 1.北京交通大学 交通运输学院, 北京 100044; 2.北京交通大学 城市交通复杂系统理论与技术教育部重点实验室, 北京 100044
  • 收稿日期:2009-09-27 修回日期:2009-12-28 出版日期:2010-07-25 发布日期:2010-07-25
  • 通信作者: 陈小红(1982-),女,博士生,主要从事交通系统工程,变分不等式与互补问题研究. E-mail:08114215@bjtu.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:陈小红(1982-),女,博士生,主要从事交通系统工程,变分不等式与互补问题研究.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70972041); 北京交通大学优秀博士生科技创新基金资助项目(141079522)

Forecast of Traffic Jam at Intersections on Urban Road

Chen Xiao-hong 1.2  Qian Da-lin 1.2    

  1. 1. School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China; 2. MOE Key Laboratory for Urban Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology,Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044,China
  • Received:2009-09-27 Revised:2009-12-28 Online:2010-07-25 Published:2010-07-25
  • Contact: 陈小红(1982-),女,博士生,主要从事交通系统工程,变分不等式与互补问题研究. E-mail:08114215@bjtu.edu.cn
  • About author:陈小红(1982-),女,博士生,主要从事交通系统工程,变分不等式与互补问题研究.
  • Supported by:

    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70972041); 北京交通大学优秀博士生科技创新基金资助项目(141079522)

摘要: 针对交叉口路段的拥堵特性,基于定性推理的相关方法,从时间的角度,提出了描述城市交叉口进口路段状况的评价指标——稳态评判指数.仿真实验表明,当交叉口交通拥堵与消散的过程被触发时,稳态评判指数会发生定性跃迁,并且每个高峰期的到来都会经历一个"稳态——非稳态——稳态"的过程;由该指标确定的拥堵临界点与由交叉口总排队长度所反映的交叉口拥堵形成及消散时刻基本吻合.

关键词: 交叉口, 交通拥堵, 定性推理, 稳态评判指数, 拥堵临界点

Abstract:

According to the characteristics of traffic jam at intersections and on the basis of qualitative reasoning,a time-related steady-state evaluation index ( SEI) is proposed to describe the traffic situations at the entrance of intersections on urban road. Simulated results indicate that,before the formation of traffic jam at intersections,the SEI of traffic flow abruptly changes and a transition from steady state to unsteady state and finally to steady-state may occur,and that the critical congestion point determined by the SEI basically accords with the formation and dissipation time of traffic jam reflected by the total queue length.

Key words: intersection, traffic jam, qualitative reasoning, steady-state evaluation index, congestion critical point