Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science Edition) ›› 2019, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (5): 96-102.doi: 10.12141/j.issn.1000-565X.180091

• Mechanical Engineering • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Reliability Modelling for Degradation Based on Type-Ⅱ Generalized Logistic Distribution and Particle Swarm Optimization
 

 ZHANG Jinbao ZHAO Yongqiang LIU Ming KONG Lingxian   

  1.  School of Mechatronics Engineering,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,Heilongjiang,China
  • Received:2018-03-04 Revised:2018-12-26 Online:2019-05-25 Published:2019-04-01
  • Contact: 张金豹( 1986-) ,男,博士生,主要从事疲劳寿命预测及可靠性建模研究. E-mail:zjb1357@163.com
  • About author:张金豹( 1986-) ,男,博士生,主要从事疲劳寿命预测及可靠性建模研究.
  • Supported by:
     Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China( 51505100) 

Abstract: As the generalized probabilistic distribution can describe the characteristics of performance degradation data with high precision and reduce the impacts caused by the outliers and the fault selection of probabilistic distribution,the type-Ⅱ generalized logistic distribution ( Ⅱ-GLD) is applied to the degradation reliability evaluation in this paper. In the investigation,the parameters of location and scale are introduced in the modeling of time-dependent degradation data,the objective function is established according to the meansquare error ( MSE) between the quantiles of Ⅱ-GLD and the experiment data,and particle swarm optimization ( PSO) algorithm is utilized to estimate parameters simultaneously. Then,the proposed approach is applied to a practical example for the evaluation of degradation reliability,followed with a verification and comparison. The results show that the relative errors between the mean and the standard deviation are below 8%,and that the reliability evaluation results match well with the pseudolifetime data in different failure thresholds. Moreover,it is indicated that,as compared with the normal distribution and the Weibull distribution,Ⅱ-GLD can explore the tail characteristics of degradation data more effectively and represent the initial degradation of the product faithfully. 

Key words: reliability, degradation data, type-Ⅱ generalized logistic distribution, quantile, particle swarm optimization

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