Power & Electrical Engineering

A Collaborative Planning and Operation Approach for Transmission Grids under Extreme Ice Hazards for Resilience Enhancement

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  • 1. School of Electric Power Engineering,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong,China;

    2. Energy Development Research Institute Co., Ltd.,CSG Guangzhou,Guangzhou 510663, Guangdong,China

Online published: 2026-01-22

Abstract

Addressing the conflict between the spatiotemporal uncertainty of extreme ice disasters and the economic constraints of transmission network hardening, this paper proposes a collaborative planning and operation method for enhancing grid resilience. First, regarding disaster modeling, a multi-stage dynamic icing model fusing Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (GEVD) and spatiotemporal random fields is constructed to capture the non-stationary evolution of disasters. Simultaneously, a Continuous-Time Markov Chain (CTMC) is employed to characterize the cascading failure mechanism of multi-split conductors, describing the dynamic decay of transmission capacity under ice accumulation. Second, regarding decision optimization, a two-stage stochastic optimization framework incorporating Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is proposed. The first stage (planning) co-optimizes differentiated line hardening levels and active de-icing device layout to minimize investment costs. The second stage (operation) minimizes operational costs and tail risks by coordinating generation redispatch, hierarchical load shedding, and active de-icing/repair resources. Case studies on a modified IEEE RTS-96 system demonstrate that the proposed targeted investment strategy saves approximately 33% of capital costs compared to a uniform maximum-hardening scheme. Furthermore, the multi-resource collaborative operation strategy reduces total operational costs by 74.9% under extreme scenarios. The research findings validate that this approach can effectively enhance the economic efficiency and resilience of transmission grids.

Cite this article

TANG Whenhu, YU Yi, WU Liangzheng, et al . A Collaborative Planning and Operation Approach for Transmission Grids under Extreme Ice Hazards for Resilience Enhancement[J]. Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science), 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.12141/j.issn.1000-565X.250404

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