A Collaborative Planning and Operation Approach for Transmission Grids under Extreme Ice Hazards for Resilience Enhancement
1. School of Electric Power Engineering,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong,China;
2. Energy Development Research Institute Co., Ltd.,CSG Guangzhou,Guangzhou 510663, Guangdong,China
Online published: 2026-01-22
Addressing the conflict between the spatiotemporal uncertainty of extreme ice disasters and the economic constraints of transmission network hardening, this paper proposes a collaborative planning and operation method for enhancing grid resilience. First, regarding disaster modeling, a multi-stage dynamic icing model fusing Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (GEVD) and spatiotemporal random fields is constructed to capture the non-stationary evolution of disasters. Simultaneously, a Continuous-Time Markov Chain (CTMC) is employed to characterize the cascading failure mechanism of multi-split conductors, describing the dynamic decay of transmission capacity under ice accumulation. Second, regarding decision optimization, a two-stage stochastic optimization framework incorporating Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is proposed. The first stage (planning) co-optimizes differentiated line hardening levels and active de-icing device layout to minimize investment costs. The second stage (operation) minimizes operational costs and tail risks by coordinating generation redispatch, hierarchical load shedding, and active de-icing/repair resources. Case studies on a modified IEEE RTS-96 system demonstrate that the proposed targeted investment strategy saves approximately 33% of capital costs compared to a uniform maximum-hardening scheme. Furthermore, the multi-resource collaborative operation strategy reduces total operational costs by 74.9% under extreme scenarios. The research findings validate that this approach can effectively enhance the economic efficiency and resilience of transmission grids.
TANG Whenhu, YU Yi, WU Liangzheng, et al . A Collaborative Planning and Operation Approach for Transmission Grids under Extreme Ice Hazards for Resilience Enhancement[J]. Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science), 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.12141/j.issn.1000-565X.250404
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