Mechanical Engineering

Fault Early Warning Method Of Nuclear Valve Position Sensor Based On Bayesian LSTM Model

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  • 1. School of Mechanical andAutomotive Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510630, Guangdong, 
    China; 2. State Key Laboratory of Nuclear Power Safety Monitoring Technology and Equipment, China Nuclear Power 
    Engineering Co. Ltd., Shenzhen 518172, Guangdong, China
游东东(1973-),男,博士,副教授,主要从事金属成形过程数值模拟、数字化制造与智能制造、工业大数据等研究。

Received date: 2020-10-22

  Revised date: 2021-04-16

  Online published: 2021-04-29

Supported by

Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51875209),the Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province(2021A0505030005)and the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(2019B1515120060)


Abstract

The research on fault early warning method of large-scale nuclear power equipment has far-reaching significance for timely troubleshooting, reducing safety risks, cutting unnecessary costs and improving power generation efficiency. However, most of the traditional fault early warning systems of nuclear power equipment are real-time monitoring and alarm systems and havent made full use of the data value, so their early warning effects need to be improved. This paper proposed a fault early warning method based on Bayesian LSTM. The theoretical health value of time node was predicted by neural network and was compared with the actual value to find out the abnormal value. Firstly, the healthy historical operation data was extracted from the real-time database, and then a series of preprocessing were carried out on these data. Finally, the processed data was used as training set to establish the LSTM prediction model. The cross validation method was used to reserve the test set, and the goodness of fit, mean square error and Bayesian hypothesis test method proposed in this paper were used to comprehensively verify the accuracy of the model. After the generalization ability of the model was guaranteed, the data in the real-time database was predicted in real time, and the abnormal signals during fault creep were identified by threshold method. The experimental results show that the Bayesian-BiLSTM prediction model has better prediction accuracy than the LSTM model in the case of high time delay. In case 1, for the three time series outliers, the model proposed in this paper finds the abnormal signal and gives an alarm at least 15 hours in advance compared with the existing real-time monitoring systems, and its reliability is further verified by case 2.

Cite this article

YOU Dongdong LI Jialiang LIU Gaojun YANG Shan . Fault Early Warning Method Of Nuclear Valve Position Sensor Based On Bayesian LSTM Model[J]. Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science), 2021 , 49(12) : 43 -52 . DOI: 10.12141/j.issn.1000-565X.200628

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