华南理工大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2007, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 90-93,99.

• 土木建筑工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

土的地震液化概率评估模型

潘健 刘利艳   

  1. 华南理工大学 建筑学院,广东 广州 510640
  • 收稿日期:2006-01-25 出版日期:2007-03-25 发布日期:2007-03-25
  • 通信作者: 潘健(1963-),男,在职博士生,副教授,主要从事岩土工程研究. E-mail:cvpan@scut.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:潘健(1963-),男,在职博士生,副教授,主要从事岩土工程研究.

Models for Evaluating Seismic Liquefaction Probability of Soils

Pan Jian  Liu Li-yan   

  1. School of Architecture and Civil Engineering , South China Univ. ofTech. , Guangzhou 510640 , Guangdong , China
  • Received:2006-01-25 Online:2007-03-25 Published:2007-03-25
  • Contact: 潘健(1963-),男,在职博士生,副教授,主要从事岩土工程研究. E-mail:cvpan@scut.edu.cn
  • About author:潘健(1963-),男,在职博士生,副教授,主要从事岩土工程研究.

摘要: 基于278 个土的地震液化或非液化实测数据,运用二元回归方法推导出两个对数模型.这两个模型将液化概率表示成地震荷载和土阻力参数的函数,以修正的标准贯入锤击数来量度土的抗液化能力.文中将所提出的对数模型与确定性液化判别标准进行了比较,并将模型应用于典型场地的分析.结果表明,所提出的两个对教模型能客观地坪价数据中的相关信息,可直接量化基于统计数据的条件液化概率.

关键词: 液化, 坪估, 回归分析, 对数模型, 确定性标准

Abstract:

The binaIγregression method was used to derive two logarithmic models based on 278 cases of liquefac-tion or nonliquefaction occurrences. In the two proposed models , the liquefaction probability was regarded as a function of earthquake load and soil resistance parameters , and the liquefaction resistance was measured through the tested values of the corrected standard penetration. Comparisons between these two logarithmic models and deter-ministic criteria were then performed. Moreover , the two models were applied to the analysis of typical sites. It is found that the two logarithmic models can objectively evaluate the information contained in the data and can be ap-plied to the direct quantification of conditional liquefaction probability based on the data.

Key words: liquefaction, estimation, regression analysis, logistic model, deterministic criterion