华南理工大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2020, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (8): 65-71.doi: 10.12141/j.issn.1000-565X.190734

• 化学化工 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于路网风险的化工园区疏散路径模型

陈国华 梁旭 周利兴 陈培珠   

  1. 华南理工大学 机械与汽车工程学院∥广东省安全生产科技协同创新中心,广东 广州 510640
  • 收稿日期:2019-10-28 修回日期:2020-03-13 出版日期:2020-08-25 发布日期:2020-08-01
  • 通信作者: 陈国华(1967-),男,教授,博士生导师,主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术、过程装备安全可靠性及风险评价技术研究。 E-mail:mmghchen@scut. edu. cn
  • 作者简介:陈国华(1967-),男,教授,博士生导师,主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术、过程装备安全可靠性及风险评价技术研究。
  • 基金资助:
    广东省科技计划项目 (2018B020207010)

An Evacuation Path Model of Chemical Industrial Park Based on Road Network Risk

CHEN Guohua LIANG Xu ZHOU Lixing CHEN Peizhu   

  1. School of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering∥ Guangdong Provincial Science and Technology Collaborative Innovation
    Center for Work Safety,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong,China
  • Received:2019-10-28 Revised:2020-03-13 Online:2020-08-25 Published:2020-08-01
  • Contact: 陈国华(1967-),男,教授,博士生导师,主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术、过程装备安全可靠性及风险评价技术研究。 E-mail:mmghchen@scut. edu. cn
  • About author:陈国华(1967-),男,教授,博士生导师,主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术、过程装备安全可靠性及风险评价技术研究。
  • Supported by:
    Supported by the Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province (2018B020207010)

摘要: 在分析化工园区事故影响严重程度的基础上,提出了一种基于路网风险的化工园区疏散路径模型。首先,基于化工园区事故的事故统计和事故概率,建立针对性的事故模型并定量计算事故后果及区域个人风险; 然后,构建基于路网风险的化工园区疏散路径模型,根据影响疏散人员路网选择的 3 个因素,即距疏散出口的距离、疏散位置的可疏散空间、疏散位置的风险来计算路网的风险; 最后,利用 Dijkstra 算法计算事故场景下该疏散场景的避开事故影响且疏散时间较短的路径。仿真结果表明,所提出的路径选择模型可以规划出有效避免事故影响范围的、较为安全的疏散路径,有助于化工园区规划应急疏散路径,给疏散人员转移及园区疏散设计提供参考借鉴。

关键词: 化工园区, 路网风险, DNV SAFETI, 疏散路径, Dijkstra 算法

Abstract: Based on the analysis of the severity of chemical accident,an evacuation path model based on the road networks risk was proposed. Firstly,based on accident statistics and accident probability of chemical industrial park accidents,a targeted accident model was established and accident consequences and regional individual risks were quantitatively calculated. Secondly,the evacuation path model of chemical industrial park was constructed based on the road network risk which was calculated according to three factors that influence the choice of evacua-tion personnel road network,that is,the distance from the evacuation exit,the risk of the evacuation position,and the evacuation space of the evacuation position. Finally,the Dijkstra algorithm was used to calculate the path of the evacuation scene in the accident scene to avoid the accident and shorter evacuation time. The simulation results show that the proposed path selection model can plan a safe evacuation path that effectively avoids the scope of acci-dents and provides a reference for evacuation personnel transfer and park evacuation design.

Key words: chemical industry park, road network risk, DNV SAFETI, evacuation path, Dijkstra algorithm