用SAFETI定量评价液氯泄漏事故的风险

华南理工大学学报（自然科学版） ›› 2006, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (5): 103-108.

用SAFETI定量评价液氯泄漏事故的风险

陈国华¹ 梁韬¹ 张晖² 颜伟文² 陈清光²

1．华南理工大学安全工程研究所，广东广州 510640；2．广东省安全科学研究所，广东广州 510620

收稿日期:2005-06-16 出版日期:2006-05-25 发布日期:2006-05-25
通信作者: 陈国华(1967-)，男，教授，博士生导师，主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术及管理信息系统、过程装备可靠性与风险评价研究 E-mail:mmghchen@scut.edu.cn
作者简介:陈国华(1967-)，男，教授，博士生导师，主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术及管理信息系统、过程装备可靠性与风险评价研究
基金资助:
广东省科技攻关项目(2002C32403)

Quantitative Risk Assessment of Liquefied Chlorine Leakage Accident via SAFETI

Chen Guo-hua¹ Liang Tao¹ Zhang Hui² Yah Wei-wen² Chen Qing-guang²

1.Institute of Safety Engineering,South China Univ.of Tech.,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong,China;2.Guangdong Institute of Safety Science and Tech.,Guangzhou 510620,Guangdong,China

Received:2005-06-16 Online:2006-05-25 Published:2006-05-25
Contact: 陈国华(1967-)，男，教授，博士生导师，主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术及管理信息系统、过程装备可靠性与风险评价研究 E-mail:mmghchen@scut.edu.cn
About author:陈国华(1967-)，男，教授，博士生导师，主要从事工业安全与风险评价技术及管理信息系统、过程装备可靠性与风险评价研究
Supported by:
广东省科技攻关项目(2002C32403)

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 基于液氯储运过程中的安全现状分析和事故统计，结合挪威船级社的定量风险分析软件SAFETI(Software for Assessment of Flammable，Explosive and Toxic Impacts)，分析了氯气的危险特性以及液氯储运过程中因泄漏而导致的毒害危险性，归纳出了液氯储运过程中可能发生的各种泄漏事故类型；并运用SAFETI软件对某液氯槽车发生泄漏后的毒性危害后果及风险进行定量评价，建立具针对性的评价模型，模拟预测事故后果及风险，取得了液氯泄漏毒害事故危害程度和范围及造成的个人风险和社会风险的计算机模拟图表及报告等，对预测、预防液氯泄漏毒害事故以及减少事故造成的人员伤亡和财产损失具有工程应用价值．

关键词: 液氯泄漏, 毒性危害, 定量评价模型, SAFETI软件, 个人风险, 社会风险

Abstract:

Based on the analysis of safety status and the statistic of accidents in the storage and transportation of lique-fled chlorine,the hazard characteristics of chlorine and the poison fatalness caused by the leakage in the storage and transportation of liquefied chlorine are analyzed,with the quantitative risk-analyzing software SAFETI(Software for Assessment of Flammable,Explosive and Toxic Impacts)in the DNV being adopted.Then,the types of leakage accidents that may happen in the storage and transportation of liquefied chlorine are summed up,and a quantitative assessment for the toxic consequence and risk in a liquefied chlorine tanker leakage is carried out using SAFETI,with the relevant assessment models being established.By the proposed models,the consequences and risks of accidents are forecasted and simulated,and the hazard degree and rang,as well as the individual risk and societal risk caused by the accidents are simulated in the form of graphs and reports,which helps forecast and prevent leak-age accidents in practice and helps reduce personnel casualty and property loss.

Key words: liquefied chlorine leakage, toxic hazard, quantitative assessment model, SAFETI, individual risk, so-cietal risk

陈国华梁韬张晖颜伟文陈清光. 用SAFETI定量评价液氯泄漏事故的风险[J]. 华南理工大学学报（自然科学版）, 2006, 34(5): 103-108.

Chen Guo-hua Liang Tao Zhang Hui Yah Wei-wen Chen Qing-guang. Quantitative Risk Assessment of Liquefied Chlorine Leakage Accident via SAFETI[J]. Journal of South China University of Technology (Natural Science Edition), 2006, 34(5): 103-108.