华南理工大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2012, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (11): 133-137.

• 交通与运输工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于生存模型的沥青路面预防性养护经济性评价

虞将苗1,2 Charles Lee2 陈磊磊2,3   

  1. 1.华南理工大学 土木与交通学院,广东 广州 510640; 2. 加利福尼亚大学路面研究中心,美国 加利福尼亚州 伯克利·戴维斯94804 /95616; 3. 东南大学 智能运输系统研究中心,江苏 南京 210096
  • 收稿日期:2012-01-12 修回日期:2012-07-13 出版日期:2012-11-25 发布日期:2012-10-01
  • 通信作者: 虞将苗(1979-) ,男,博士,讲师,主要从事道路工程结构与材料研究. E-mail:yujm@scut.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:虞将苗(1979-) ,男,博士,讲师,主要从事道路工程结构与材料研究.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金重点资助项目( 51038004) ; 国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目( 51008132)

Survival Model-Based Economic Evaluation of Preventive Maintenance Practice on Asphalt Pavement

Yu Jiang-miao1,2  Charles LeeChen Lei-lei2,3   

  1. 1. School of Civil Engineering and Transportation,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong China; 2. University of California Pavement Research Center,University of California,Berkeley·Davis CA 94804 /95616,USA; 3. Intelligent Transportation System Research Center,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096,Jiangsu China
  • Received:2012-01-12 Revised:2012-07-13 Online:2012-11-25 Published:2012-10-01
  • Contact: 虞将苗(1979-) ,男,博士,讲师,主要从事道路工程结构与材料研究. E-mail:yujm@scut.edu.cn
  • About author:虞将苗(1979-) ,男,博士,讲师,主要从事道路工程结构与材料研究.
  • Supported by:

    国家自然科学基金重点资助项目( 51038004) ; 国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目( 51008132)

摘要: 为探索经济、有效的沥青路面养护方法,降低沥青路面的养护费用,对沥青路面的预防性养护进行了全寿命经济性评价.首先根据美国加利福尼亚州交通部门的路面观测数据,采用生存模型建立了沥青路面在裂缝类预防性养护情况下的全寿命周期的性能模型; 进而,通过概率分析建立了路面的性能-成本模型,分析了不同破坏准则下预防性养护措施的经济性,并与矫正性修复措施的经济性进行了对比.结果表明,在沥青路面的寿命周期内,一直采用预防性养护的成本较采用矫正性修复的成本平均节约了27%,采用每两次矫正性修复间加入两次预防性养护的成本较一直使用矫正性修复的成本平均节约了17%. 分析结果还表明,越早进行预防性养护,沥青路面的寿命周期成本越低.

关键词: 道路工程, 沥青路面, 预防性养护, 生存模型, 全寿命周期, 经济性评价

Abstract:

In order to explore an economic and effective approach to asphalt pavement maintenance and to reduce the maintenance cost,a life-cycle economic evaluation of the preventive maintenance practice on asphalt pavement is carried out. In the investigation,first,with the help of survival models,the pavement observation data from the California Department of Transportation are used to develop the life-cycle performance models for preventive asphalt pavement treatments specially for cracking distress. Then,a performance-cost model of the pavement is established based on the probability analysis. Finally,the economy of preventive maintenance under different failure criteria is analyzed and is compared with that of corrective maintenance. The results indicate that,in the life cycle of the detected pavement,the continuous preventive maintenance averagely saves the cost by 27% as compared with the corrective maintenance,that an average cost saving of 17% can be achieved when two preventive maintenance actions are coupled with one corrective maintenance action,and that more saving can be achieved by applying preventive maintenance at earlier stages of pavement distress.

Key words: pavement engineering, asphalt pavement, preventive maintenance, survival model, life cycle, economic evaluation

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